地方では高齢者の人口も減っているため、利用者が減少。訪問先への移動距離が長く、事業の効率化が難しいといった事情もある。「訪問介護は赤字」という社協は多い。
Econbrowser : The BIS has just released debt-service ratios for 2023Q1. Using this variable, and term spread and foreign term spread, the estimated probability of a recession in 2024Q1 has risen substantially, although still far below the corresponding figure using only a term spread/short rate.
Econbrowser : So, while the “soft landing” view is gaining dominance, the above results are consistent with the view of a downturn in 2024H1, which garners about 53% in the FT-Booth School macroeconomists survey:
