http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/
The Oil Drum のメンバーが早速、検証に取り掛かっているので、今後、分析結果がアップされると思います。
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/4735#more
上の図のように、まだ、オイルピークが到来するという予測にはなっていませんが、序文の内容は、オイルピーク派とほぼ同じ主張になっています。
The world’s energy system is at a crossroads. Current global trends in energy supply and consumption are patently unsustainable — environmentally, economically, socially. But that can — and must — be altered; there’s still time to change the road we’re on. It is not an exaggeration to claim that the future of human prosperity depends on how successfully we tackle the two central energy challenges facing us today: securing the supply of reliable and affordable energy; and effecting a rapid transformation to a low-carbon, efficient and environmentally benign system of energy supply. What is needed is nothing short of an energy revolution. This World Energy Outlook demonstrates how that might be achieved through decisive policy action and at what cost. It also describes the consequences of failure.
